Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.002337 0.002473 0.002618 0.002785 0.002973 0.003178 0.003423
2025-03-16 0.002173 0.002366 0.002584 0.002851 0.003173 0.003558 0.004063
2025-03-23 0.002049 0.002279 0.002548 0.002895 0.003341 0.003913 0.004738
2025-03-30 0.001921 0.002169 0.002467 0.002865 0.003401 0.004132 0.005278
2025-04-06 0.001798 0.002050 0.002361 0.002787 0.003380 0.004226 0.005650
2025-04-13 0.001713 0.001972 0.002296 0.002751 0.003407 0.004389 0.006164
2025-04-20 0.001596 0.001844 0.002158 0.002603 0.003255 0.004252 0.006121
2025-04-27 0.001547 0.001801 0.002128 0.002600 0.003313 0.004452 0.006755
2025-05-04 0.001528 0.001795 0.002145 0.002665 0.003479 0.004859 0.007963
2025-05-11 0.001489 0.001760 0.002119 0.002664 0.003539 0.005087 0.008886
2025-05-18 0.001479 0.001763 0.002146 0.002742 0.003737 0.005617 0.010939
2025-05-25 0.001440 0.001724 0.002112 0.002723 0.003767 0.005817 0.012193
2025-06-01 0.001389 0.001669 0.002054 0.002667 0.003733 0.005895 0.013200
2025-06-08 0.001371 0.001659 0.002062 0.002718 0.003902 0.006476 0.017139
2025-06-15 0.001351 0.001645 0.002062 0.002755 0.004050 0.007066 0.022954
2025-06-22 0.001315 0.001607 0.002025 0.002726 0.004066 0.007321 0.027803
2025-06-29 0.001271 0.001556 0.001964 0.002654 0.003984 0.007280 0.030053
2025-07-06 0.001239 0.001521 0.001928 0.002621 0.003981 0.007474 0.036626
2025-07-13 0.001184 0.001451 0.001835 0.002486 0.003750 0.006930 0.030623
2025-07-20 0.001164 0.001431 0.001818 0.002483 0.003801 0.007272 0.041001
2025-07-27 0.001159 0.001434 0.001837 0.002543 0.003994 0.008154 0.093052
2025-08-03 0.001141 0.001416 0.001822 0.002541 0.004050 0.008602 0.233780
2025-08-10 0.001140 0.001423 0.001846 0.002613 0.004287 0.009902 NaN